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I don't think it is useful to compare the protests in Russia & India - they're of very different nature - and most importantly in very different political environments. IMO Navalny's death (& Putin's chef earlier) reflect a vulnerability of a regime that is brittle with a single point of failure. On the surface things are going Putin's way until they won't. This may take a month, an year or a decade - who knows? The farmer's protests are a very different matter - like you, I agree they are unlikely to succeed this time but for entirely different reasons.

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