The Russian strike on Dnipro was no ICBM - it was an IRBM. The Oreshnik is just a modified version of RS-26 Rubezh, which is a non-precision missile. That being said, agreed with the overall theme that Putin is now frustrated.
Interestingly, the Biden admin called Moscow and announced the change of policy re. ATACMS - in advance. And, although not required to do so (because this was no ICBM) then Moscow called Washington to announce this launch at Dnipro - in advance. So, at least the US-Russian system of avoiding escalation is actually still working. In my opinion, de-escalation is not very far away.
On the ""The Russian Economy is Hurting" topic... I think it is a mistake to evaluate America's approach piecemeal. The Americans are trying to fight on too many fronts with too many adversaries, and with each a different kind of battle. Ukraine is of one kind, China economically and geopolitically is another kind, Middle East involvement is a third kind.
With Trump, one can't be sure if the next set of adversarial relations will be Mexico on the border; and further escalations with Iran.
The other countries moves are based on all of the above too... not a 1 on 1 conflict alone. Is America over-stretching itself? Spreading itself too thin? Might it abandon some fronts earlier than others? The bigger picture is very complicated and that much harder to assess.
The Russian strike on Dnipro was no ICBM - it was an IRBM. The Oreshnik is just a modified version of RS-26 Rubezh, which is a non-precision missile. That being said, agreed with the overall theme that Putin is now frustrated.
Interestingly, the Biden admin called Moscow and announced the change of policy re. ATACMS - in advance. And, although not required to do so (because this was no ICBM) then Moscow called Washington to announce this launch at Dnipro - in advance. So, at least the US-Russian system of avoiding escalation is actually still working. In my opinion, de-escalation is not very far away.
On the ""The Russian Economy is Hurting" topic... I think it is a mistake to evaluate America's approach piecemeal. The Americans are trying to fight on too many fronts with too many adversaries, and with each a different kind of battle. Ukraine is of one kind, China economically and geopolitically is another kind, Middle East involvement is a third kind.
With Trump, one can't be sure if the next set of adversarial relations will be Mexico on the border; and further escalations with Iran.
The other countries moves are based on all of the above too... not a 1 on 1 conflict alone. Is America over-stretching itself? Spreading itself too thin? Might it abandon some fronts earlier than others? The bigger picture is very complicated and that much harder to assess.
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